Happy-Poison
0x18ae2323bb2181a53bd6134f0787ef8b20505098
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-869.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NUGGETS
Hawks vs. Nuggets
600 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-228.00
- HEAT
Heat vs. Pacers
600 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-178.99
- WIZARDS
Pelicans vs. Wizards
500 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-205.00
- PISTONS
Clippers vs. Pistons
200 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-146.00
- CELTICS
Spurs vs. Celtics
200 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$100.00May 27, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$97.30Apr 9, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on March 27?$22.79Apr 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or below on March 27?$22.74Mar 25, 10:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$25.00Mar 25, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$20.64Mar 23, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?$4.29Mar 23, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$22.00Mar 23, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.71Mar 14, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.92Mar 14, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$122.00Mar 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$121.88Mar 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$100.64Mar 11, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$91.53Mar 8, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$112.00Mar 8, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$111.66Mar 5, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$112.00Mar 5, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$111.89Mar 2, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?$112.00Mar 2, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28?$111.66Feb 28, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $211.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".