Happy-Oldie
0x18aee702a6b7d9007dcc7c03f4cfb51abb7d314c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-31.49
Win rate
0%
92 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 23?
7500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 23?
7500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 23?
7480 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 24?
7480 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 24?
6458 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 24?
6115 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 23?
5761 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 23?
5714 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-7.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 23?
5619 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 19?
5573 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 15?$3.01Aug 14, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?$2.02Aug 14, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?$2.33Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?$2.32Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?$49.39Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?$49.13Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?$2.39Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?$18.95Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on August 15?$23.66Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?$13.67Aug 14, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?$17.96Aug 14, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?$35.86Aug 14, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?$4.18Aug 14, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?$6.58Aug 14, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?$7.60Aug 14, 07:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 14?$3.52Aug 14, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?$50.83Aug 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?$5.99Aug 14, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?$1.55Aug 14, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 14?$1.55Aug 14, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 92 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
92 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 19:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 92 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.