Lighthearted-Dinosaur
0x18b4c188358e542f6649bf0e8238a4b9168e08fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$3.71
Total PnL
$-485.24
Realised
$3.44
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.70
$-2.30
- YES
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
224 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.01
$-63.99
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
2167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- NO
Trump and Putin shake hands by October 31?
1125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?
358 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?
338 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
266 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?
152 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 10?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?$0.93Dec 9, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$7.50Dec 9, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?$65.00Dec 7, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?$34.81Dec 7, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$15.21Dec 7, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.03Nov 4, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$19.03Nov 4, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$12.90Nov 4, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$25.00Nov 4, 06:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 4, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 3, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 2, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 1, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 31, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 30, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 29, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 28, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 27, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 26, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Oct 25, 00:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $22.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 11:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".