Possible-Embryo
0x18b56ef5b4ab1fb3156ff16831d71875e42f0b65
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$105.44
Total PnL
$-183.65
Realised
$-1.72
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.95
$3.95
- YES
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.49
$1.49
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
264 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-105.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
122 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
28 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.60
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
5 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will Mircea Geoană win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
5 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
5 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$90.00May 7, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$12.00Apr 7, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$10.00Apr 3, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$7.88Apr 3, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$20.00Mar 31, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$10.00Mar 30, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$8.80Mar 24, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$27.72Oct 27, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$30.00Oct 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?$44.61Sep 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$106.90Sep 6, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$9.60Aug 16, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$100.00Aug 9, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill US annual inflation be 2.9% or greater in December?$5.00Aug 9, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$5.00Aug 9, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$5.00Aug 9, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?$40.00Aug 4, 08:20 UTC
- MERGEWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?$5.00Aug 4, 08:19 UTC
- SPLITWill US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?$5.00Aug 2, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$20.98Aug 2, 07:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".