Noisy-Constellation
0x18ba2f4df95c9dc6667bef04464a8d986b7da98f
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-213.52
Realised
$-15.29
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
778 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
455 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.45
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
214 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
149 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
147 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-11.51
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
146 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-16.52
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Jan 31, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?$70.00Jan 31, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 30, 22:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.16Jan 28, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Jan 27, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Jan 27, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.00Jan 27, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$8.46Jan 27, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$9.60Jan 27, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$6.01Jan 27, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$0.54Jan 27, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$4.86Jan 27, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$3.88Jan 27, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$4.10Jan 27, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$9.98Jan 27, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$9.99Jan 27, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$10.00Jan 27, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$3.33Jan 27, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 27, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$1.90Jan 27, 23:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".