Arctic-Crush
0x18c123f0abc5bb65426500f57ec8ab69baa6d8b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
60
Open notional
$42.99
Total PnL
$-238.75
Realised
$-0.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
10 shares @ 88.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.15
$1.15
- NO
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
9 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.46
$1.46
- NO
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
8 shares @ 83.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$8.36
$1.36
- YES
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$5.63
$0.63
- NO
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
5 shares @ 93.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- NO
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
5 shares @ 78.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.03
$1.06
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
27 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
23 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
22 shares @ 74.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$4.05May 31, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$5.01May 31, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$7.05May 31, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$3.03May 31, 13:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$0.00May 31, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$0.00May 31, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.00May 31, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Target Q1 comparable sales growth be between -1% and 1%?$0.00May 31, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Uncle" or "Unc" this week?$0.00May 31, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Innio's market cap be between $23B and $26B at market close on IPO day?$7.05May 31, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?$7.05May 31, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?$9.05May 31, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$5.13May 31, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$6.47May 31, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$8.62May 31, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Target Q1 comparable sales growth be between -1% and 1%?$10.13May 31, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Uncle" or "Unc" this week?$10.99May 31, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.01May 17, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?$6.02May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Target Q1 comparable sales growth be between -1% and 1%?$8.07May 17, 21:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 14:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.