Wide-Eyed-Loop
0x18c3b1789f176f9105f265f63c2af22f18be21a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$210.10
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$196.74
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June?
13227 shares @ 7.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$132.27
$-795.45
- YES
Will Solana dip to $40 in June?
5859 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$64.45
$-35.55
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
789 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.66
$-4.34
- YES
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
778 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.72
$-4.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?
41718 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-180.68
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?
15806 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-196.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?
2491 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?
2249 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
1902 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$254.20Jun 20, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$75.39Jun 18, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$534.48Jun 18, 09:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$106.95Jun 17, 08:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$718.15Jun 14, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$32.05Jun 14, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$427.33Jun 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$106.83Jun 14, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $40 in June?$106.88Jun 14, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$534.18Jun 14, 12:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?$227.45Jun 11, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $274.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 00:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.