Thorny-Heat
0x18c7409efa672940d3c454e404779ea05a127e36
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$153.61
Total PnL
$-0.18
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
54 shares @ 97.1¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.31
$0.03
- NO
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
51 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.69
$-0.15
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
53 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.61
$-0.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.85May 18, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$37.66May 18, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$10.12May 18, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$48.51May 16, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.72May 15, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$1.01May 15, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$50.29May 12, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?$50.03May 11, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$50.49May 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?$49.98May 10, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$49.88May 10, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$50.23May 9, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$11.27May 8, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$11.09May 7, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$49.52May 6, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.88May 6, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$20.90May 6, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?$50.77May 5, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$50.44May 5, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$50.39May 5, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $40.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 07:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".