Outlying-Monsoon
0x18cc2ec8c1018872301c37d99f3bde1596361ffa
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.08
Total PnL
$-514.24
Realised
$-14.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- HOOKER
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Knicks
511 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-43.32
- CHIEFS
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
217 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- CHIEFS
Chiefs vs. Cowboys
124 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ALABAMA
Georgia vs. Alabama
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- SAINTS
Falcons vs. Saints
62 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- RAVENS
Bengals vs. Ravens
52 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- STEELERS
Steelers vs. Bears
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$4.69Mar 20, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Mar 20, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Mar 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Knicks$1.00Dec 7, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Knicks$7.00Dec 7, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLMagic vs. Knicks$9.91Dec 7, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMagic vs. Knicks$0.96Dec 7, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSeahawks vs. Falcons$8.23Dec 7, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Knicks$20.00Dec 7, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Knicks$20.00Dec 7, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Knicks$20.00Dec 7, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Falcons$10.00Dec 7, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMCowboys vs. Lions$16.13Dec 7, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeorgia vs. Alabama$10.00Dec 6, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Lions$10.00Dec 4, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Raptors$20.00Dec 4, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pacers$28.57Dec 4, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMGiants vs. Patriots$13.16Dec 4, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Imperial vs M80 (BO3)$21.74Dec 4, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $12.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 22:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.