Wise-Spectacle
0x18ccf4007c40bba0d41dc6e2a541d1b4f86bc4cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-57.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?
619 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 19?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
450 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 17?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Regretting You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 22?
102 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
100 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.10
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
100 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 4?$62.06Jun 5, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 4?$62.00Jun 4, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?$40.04Jun 2, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?$23.02Jun 1, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2?$40.00Jun 1, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?$23.00Jun 1, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$63.06May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$63.00May 25, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?$62.12May 23, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$2.00May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$2.00May 22, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?$62.01May 21, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$62.12May 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$62.01May 9, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$0.00May 9, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$62.06May 9, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?$62.00May 6, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?$62.06May 6, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on May 4?$62.00May 4, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$62.06May 4, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $48.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 10:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.