Gregarious-Dinosaur-Gale
0x18d0216c9e7581625db224b45b65aad81e6ddba4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$-215.45
Win rate
0%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
774 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
734 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-39.14
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
730 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-29.51
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
715 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
709 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.47
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
645 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
634 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
627 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-38.44
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
599 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.49
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
596 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$82.60Jul 25, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.12Jul 25, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$8.80Jul 25, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.01Jul 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$8.89Jul 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$8.42Jul 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.53Jul 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.53Jul 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$8.42Jul 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$8.22Jul 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.01Jul 25, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.12Jul 25, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$8.80Jul 25, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$8.42Jul 25, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.95Jul 25, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.36Jul 25, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$61.71Jul 25, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$6.76Jul 25, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$9.91Jul 25, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.17Jul 25, 20:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
200 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 19:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.