Nervous-Archer
0x18d037fa173f0a0c2c5f5072ac57b3edf5e575d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$89.63
Total PnL
$-128.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
52 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$51.66
$0.49
- ILYA IVASHKA
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Hamish Stewart
31 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$31.00
$15.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 7?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.10
$0.03
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
13 shares @ 16.8¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.87
$-0.32
- SANTA CLARA BRONCOS
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)
207 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-107.64
- NO
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
31 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.34
- HAMISH STEWART
Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Hamish Stewart
31 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.50
- NO
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-22?
23 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- RIESEN LUDWIGSBURG
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Riesen Ludwigsburg
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
13 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 7?$5.07Jun 6, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$1.17Jun 6, 06:35 UTC
- SPLITBengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Hamish Stewart$31.00May 22, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.02May 22, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: France vs Switzerland$1.26May 22, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMInternationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez$23.00May 22, 05:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:11 UTC
- SPLITInternationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandez$23.00May 19, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$51.17May 19, 15:56 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.00May 19, 15:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1.23May 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.20May 15, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.25May 15, 15:44 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$100.00May 15, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.34May 15, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?$6.00May 15, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $8.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.