Real-Trachoma
0x18d14ad9930ab53723e14efda6650551b26c2b03
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$25.70
Total PnL
$0.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$15.02
$0.01
- NO
Netanyahu out by August 31?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Coinbase acquire Circle before September?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Canada join US as 51st state in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
August jobs report prints negative?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$1.00Aug 31, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase acquire Circle before September?$2.00Aug 31, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$15.00Aug 31, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMBird flu pandemic before August 2025?$2.06Aug 31, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAugust jobs report prints negative?$1.00Jul 31, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by August 31?$2.00Jul 31, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Jul 31, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMCircle IPO in 2025?$1.06Jul 31, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold hit $3,600 before June?$2.01Jul 31, 16:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada join US as 51st state before July?$1.02Jul 31, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$1.00Jul 31, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran before July?$1.00Jul 31, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before July?$1.00Jun 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$1.00Jun 30, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 30?$1.00Jun 30, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold hit $3,600 before June?$2.00May 29, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu pandemic before August 2025?$2.00May 29, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCircle IPO in 2025?$1.00May 29, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xi visit the US before May?$1.00May 29, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMCanada election called by midnight?$1.00May 29, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 31, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.