Stunning-Pennant
0x18d6021989fc47dbc633324426d82fbb81020913
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on November 2?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
7 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.58
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$19.99Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$9.74Jun 13, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$10.00May 20, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$3.70May 20, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.17May 20, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$5.27May 20, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$20.20Apr 29, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$20.01Apr 29, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12?$24.54Apr 29, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12?$24.52Jan 12, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$5.16Jan 12, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 7?$19.36Jan 12, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 7?$19.34Dec 7, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?$19.34Dec 7, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?$19.26Dec 3, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 25?$19.26Dec 3, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $150 on November 25?$19.24Nov 25, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $180 on November 14?$10.01Nov 25, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 15?$0.31Nov 15, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $10.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.