Faint-Fee-Underestimate
0x18d82b02860c2e774bcd400e516af9b3f8427e2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-657.9K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
1010101 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-259.4K
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
566066 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-90.5K
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
542533 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-224.6K
- BELGIUM
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
395062 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-44.8K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
55092 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-16.1K
- NORWAY
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
35924 shares @ 39.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.2K
- YES
Argentina leading at halftime?
29048 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.4K
- YES
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
580 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.48
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
192 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-78.74
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
113 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-6.76
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$23.15Jul 23, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$208.41Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$107.19Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.1KJul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$49.15Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$743.77Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$17.36Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$18.00Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$101.16Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$18.00Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.17Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.39Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.41Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.80Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$587.25Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.48Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.62Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$81.00Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 10, 19:40 UTC → Jul 10, 19:38 UTC
- BUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$10.0K@11¢Jul 10, 19:38 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$10.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $99.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.