Finished-Consistency
0x18dfb5c9f231a7b7e494d72b1f11912beeafa64c
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6AM ET
1003 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8AM ET
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$0.01Jan 3, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7PM ET$1.00Dec 26, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.09Dec 26, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$1.00Dec 26, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition$1.04Dec 26, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 8AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$1.00Dec 25, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$3.57Dec 25, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 11:45 UTC
- MERGEWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.08Dec 25, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 6AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.08Dec 25, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.34Dec 25, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.52Dec 23, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.00Dec 11, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 3, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.