Immediate-Essay
0x18ec356b3616124ab1a646c4fdb06c5a17305454
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.18
Total PnL
$-23.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
10 shares @ 31.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (January 18)
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?
42 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (January 18)$1.00Jan 11, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 11, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Minnesota" this week? (January 18)$1.00Jan 11, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)$1.00Jan 11, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$3.00Jan 11, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill NRG win VALORANT Champions 2025?$1.79Jan 11, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$5.66Jan 11, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West release an album in 2025?$10.36Jan 11, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NRG win VALORANT Champions 2025?$1.00Oct 3, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$1.00Oct 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother France debt downgrade by December 31?$3.00Oct 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?$1.00Oct 3, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West release an album in 2025?$2.00Jul 5, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$3.00Jul 5, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$2.00Jul 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$3.00Jul 5, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?$1.50Jul 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk create a new political party before August?$10.00Jul 5, 17:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 11, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".