Fumbling-Normal
0x18f242d52fca6408991dd89563b8a6309e615a03
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-18.62
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on October 21?
600 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-498.45
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on October 12?
600 shares @ 78.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-471.88
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?
600 shares @ 91.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-550.83
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on October 21?
600 shares @ 84.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-509.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?
600 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-566.98
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on October 12?
600 shares @ 89.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-538.98
- UP
Solana Up or Down on October 15?
524 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-407.21
- UP
XRP Up or Down on October 10?
501 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-440.69
- UP
Solana Up or Down on October 10?
500 shares @ 77.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-388.24
- UP
Solana Up or Down on October 9?
397 shares @ 78.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-312.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- MERGEXi Jinping out before 2027?$2.8KJul 18, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 18, 12:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.