Willing-Tournament
0x18fac63e7351303473046ba70f5157edcbab7a81
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-286.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 12?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?
584 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?
333 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?
217 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
128 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
50 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
25 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.20Apr 11, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.90Apr 11, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$9.62Apr 11, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?$13.54Apr 11, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$60.01Apr 11, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$141.94Apr 11, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$100.00Apr 11, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 10, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 9, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 9, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$436.82Apr 8, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$398.00Apr 7, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.00Apr 7, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 7, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 7, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 7, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?$10.00Apr 7, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win on 2026-03-31?$442.86Apr 4, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-03-31?$348.00Mar 27, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$347.84Mar 19, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $74.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 23:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".