Fortunate-Survivor
0x1901e231434d577f19073ac9d74b92c9c5627fd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.90
Total PnL
$-5.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 24?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 24?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?
3 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?$1.00Dec 23, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 24?$1.00Dec 23, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 24?$1.00Dec 23, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 24?$1.00Dec 23, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$2.00Dec 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$1.00Dec 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 23, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 23, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$2.00Dec 23, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 23, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".