Tough-Fowl
0x19026132c0475dccaed9e0c0c3bf9952e5a281df
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nikos Konstantopoulos be next Greek President?
549 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Teodor Nițulescu win the Romanian presidential election?$1.00Apr 18, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$102.23Apr 18, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$102.44Apr 18, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 17, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikos Konstantopoulos be next Greek President?$1.00Feb 5, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 18, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEMPereira vs. Rountree Jr.$0.00Jan 18, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMHarrison vs. Vieira$0.00Jan 18, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 550-574 times November 1-8?$0.00Jan 18, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?$0.00Jan 18, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?$0.00Jan 18, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 1.0-2.0%? $0.00Jan 18, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 1.0-2.0%? $1.87Nov 14, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-574 times November 1-8?$0.01Nov 7, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republicans have 49 or fewer seats in Senate after election?$0.01Nov 7, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarrison vs. Vieira$0.30Oct 5, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYPereira vs. Rountree Jr.$0.50Oct 5, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?$1.00Oct 5, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $17.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".