Lighthearted-Wardrobe
0x190445e1c9bac8f9f3243d110f930750daea2022
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$11.53
Total PnL
$-30.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.21
$2.21
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.69
$-1.31
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.34
$-0.66
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$2.8612h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.1213h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.0213h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.0213h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.2213h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.0113h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$2.6513h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.0413h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.0213h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.0213h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$0.0013h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$1.0213h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.0022h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.0122h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$1.0122h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.3522h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.021d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.191d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.011d ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.431d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 88d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".