Lighthearted-Wardrobe
0x190445e1c9bac8f9f3243d110f930750daea2022
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$5.64
Total PnL
$-48.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will ACT New Zealand be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-4.35
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.25
$-1.75
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
85 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$7.14Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$6.14Jun 12, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.61May 23, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.02May 23, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.03May 23, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.08May 23, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$0.00May 23, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$2.01May 23, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.18May 23, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.01May 22, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.47May 22, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.02May 22, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$6.01May 21, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.02May 19, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.23May 19, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.00May 19, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.01May 19, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.19May 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.01May 18, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$1.08May 18, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 07:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.