0x19167696a9ae209833c0c7410c3ccb984665d6ce
0x19167696a9ae209833c0c7410c3ccb984665d6ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-913.09
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
2399 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-256.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
567 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-340.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
332 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-61.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
136 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-82.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
124 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-49.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
95 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-18.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
77 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-21.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
62 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-17.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
26 shares @ 79.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
13 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$0.00Jun 29, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$0.00Jun 29, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Jun 1, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.08Apr 11, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$3.70Apr 11, 00:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00Apr 11, 00:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$4.76Apr 11, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1.37Apr 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$3.50Apr 11, 00:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$4.77Apr 11, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.23Apr 11, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.02Apr 11, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.42Apr 11, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$2.05Apr 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 29, 18:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.