Measly-Softening
0x1917d3e94eca2716e5d11025455630976eec138b
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-264.47
Realised
$-95.23
Win rate
17%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 5?
72 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 7?
27 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?
19 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-8.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 5?
18 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 6?
18 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5?
13 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?
13 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
10 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
Recent activity
- REWARD$10.15Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 11?$0.00Aug 3, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 11?$0.99Aug 3, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?$4.77Jul 28, 23:42 UTC
- REWARD$25.98Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$4.44Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$8.27Jul 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$8.14Jul 13, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$0.13Jul 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$58.00Jul 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$138.00Jul 13, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$119.65Jul 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$122.00Jul 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$28.12Jul 13, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$28.13Jul 13, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$21.05Jul 13, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$21.05Jul 13, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$124.00Jul 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$128.00Jul 13, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$124.70Jul 13, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
58 closed markets, 17% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $61.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 19:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.