Measly-Softening
0x1917d3e94eca2716e5d11025455630976eec138b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$23.47
Total PnL
$-120.51
Realised
$-11.51
Win rate
29%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 1?
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.10
$1.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.46
$0.52
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.12
$0.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 1?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.90
$0.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.81
$-0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.80
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?
3 shares @ 41.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.80
$0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?
2 shares @ 39.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.73
$0.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 1?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.37
$-0.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 1?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.08
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?$20.35Jul 1, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?$27.60Jul 1, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 2?$3.69Jul 1, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 2?$2.84Jul 1, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?$5.22Jul 1, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 2?$6.74Jul 1, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$9.31Jul 1, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 1?$35.51Jul 1, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 1?$57.37Jul 1, 04:47 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$64.01Jul 1, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$2.50Jul 1, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$2.79Jul 1, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$1.79Jul 1, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$0.39Jul 1, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 1?$36.86Jul 1, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$13.44Jul 1, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$0.92Jul 1, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$26.86Jul 1, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$9.80Jul 1, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?$0.00Jul 1, 00:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 35 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
35 closed markets, 29% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $14.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 22:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 05:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.