Unwieldy-Briefly
0x191d53bba10620b717bca99682945c49e49a030e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$113.11
Total PnL
$-202.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
113 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$113.11
$0.11
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?
928 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 17?
743 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 17?
737 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 9-15?
650 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on February 23?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
523 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $86,000 on January 24?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$113.01Jul 10, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$5.38Jul 10, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in June?$118.22Jul 10, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in June?$118.01Jun 27, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 22 above $430?$118.22Jun 27, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 22 above $430?$118.00Jun 26, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 20?$97.10Jun 26, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on June 20?$97.01Jun 19, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$10.55Jun 19, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.01Jun 19, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$94.09Jun 19, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$94.01May 31, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$13.00May 31, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$107.11May 31, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$107.01May 30, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$10.50May 30, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$117.23May 30, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$117.00May 30, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 28?$12.02May 29, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?$105.21May 29, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $84.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 05:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.