Bumpy-Terracotta
0x19234b88d9ffc186f4fb33f90f3488eb55ffef8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$768.02
Total PnL
$-203.80
Realised
$-6.85
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
200 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$181.00
$3.00
- YES
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
216 shares @ 89.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$180.27
$-13.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 80.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$103.35
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$99.90
$1.90
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 80.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$71.50
$-8.50
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$68.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$63.50
$-10.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 4?
521 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?
160 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?
100 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?$178.00Jun 14, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$4.89Jun 14, 01:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.05Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$8.40Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$100.00Jun 13, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?$71.43Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$11.76Jun 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$10.10Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$15.15Jun 13, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$10.24Jun 13, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?$38.57Jun 13, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$99.00Jun 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$74.00Jun 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 13?$70.43Jun 13, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$50.51Jun 13, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$50.03Jun 13, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$50.80Jun 13, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$10.22Jun 13, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$15.15Jun 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$10.41Jun 13, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $41.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.