Downright-Proximity
0x192d31c456c38caeae5b9cd052cee76f8250ebab
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-144.13
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
588 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- PEREIRA
Pereira vs. Ankalaev
477 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2025$0.00
$-248.00
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-29?
347 shares @ 28.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
225 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- ALEX PEREIRA
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
187 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
177 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
169 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
126 shares @ 79.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCôte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$5.09Jun 30, 16:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?$20.21Jun 28, 20:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$60.83Jun 24, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$39.06Jun 24, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$37.88Jun 24, 01:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$25.27Jun 23, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$25.25Jun 23, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $39.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.