Flippant-Celebrity
0x1938af3fb63c8eb6ba18297a43c61bc9bfc536a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$403.04
Total PnL
$-655.03
Realised
$24.88
Win rate
68%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
44 shares @ 42.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$44.33
$25.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
16 shares @ 51.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$16.46
$7.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
15 shares @ 40.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$15.02
$8.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
14 shares @ 25.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$13.87
$10.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
14 shares @ 70.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$13.86
$4.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
14 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$13.83
$6.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
14 shares @ 23.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$13.58
$10.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
14 shares @ 50.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$13.50
$6.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
13 shares @ 62.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$13.42
$5.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
13 shares @ 87.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$12.87
$1.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$4.23Jul 3, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5$2.80Jul 3, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$2.56Jul 3, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$2.69Jul 2, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5$2.52Jul 2, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5$2.02Jul 2, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?$2.03Jul 2, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5$2.01Jul 2, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$2.04Jul 2, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5$2.01Jul 2, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-02?$2.02Jul 2, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$2.82Jul 2, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$6.67Jul 1, 23:33 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5$2.67Jul 1, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-01?$2.60Jul 1, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5$2.70Jul 1, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$4.55Jul 1, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$2.03Jul 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-01?$2.02Jul 1, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5$2.01Jul 1, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
68% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 05:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.