Ugly-Slip
0x1944a4d0d160475a87846aa0f901d46d27dec05d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$-96.51
Realised
$-0.22
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 24?
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$3.30
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?
62 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10?
50 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.96
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?
46 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.12
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11?
43 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-8.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 1?
28 shares @ 66.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.62
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7?
26 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?
24 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?
9 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 1?
9 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 28?$5.42Jul 24, 00:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 26?$3.79Jul 23, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?$5.35Jul 23, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 27?$5.38Jul 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?$4.48Jul 23, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 27?$5.23Jul 23, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 24?$3.93Jul 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 24?$4.37Jul 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 26?$5.26Jul 23, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 28?$6.29Jul 23, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?$5.20Jul 23, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?$6.28Jul 23, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 24?$4.67Jul 23, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 26?$6.13Jul 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 26?$3.67Jul 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 26?$3.97Jul 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 26?$4.96Jul 23, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 26?$5.12Jul 23, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 25?$5.38Jul 23, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 27?$6.15Jul 23, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.