Elliptical-Answer
0x1954848a1cc25591acfc2c87d63893e05ce9dcfc
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$126.72
Total PnL
$2.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?
67 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$66.62
$0.13
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$53.19
$3.19
- NO
China coup attempt in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.36
$0.06
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- NO
Will a country leave BRICS before 2026?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?$66.49Dec 30, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$1.11Nov 5, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by October 15?$20.04Nov 5, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by October 15?$20.00Oct 15, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$50.00Oct 15, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1.00Sep 1, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?$1.00Aug 19, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt in 2025?$1.30Aug 7, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt in 2025?$1.00Aug 7, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?$1.00Aug 7, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$1.00Jul 29, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$1.00Jul 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a country leave BRICS before 2026?$1.00Jul 11, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $13.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 08:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.