Superior-Crew
0x195d81f429297a154c1dbecdadf64711fd501297
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$13.50
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.50
$-36.50
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
139086 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-678.18
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
8117 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-125.99
- YES
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?
1772 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-131.50
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?
1725 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?
1042 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
548 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on November 12?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
384 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.73
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.