Polished-Swine
0x1963ed3ad13014c3fe9da5250fa0b4ced55e6e2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
61
Open notional
$1.07
Total PnL
$-14.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.06
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
505 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-252.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
504 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-252.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
503 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-251.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
502 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-251.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 16?$1.02Dec 15, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 10 above $460?$1.03Dec 15, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 16?$1.01Nov 13, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 10 above $460?$1.02Nov 13, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.01Oct 29, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.0KOct 20, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$984.00Oct 20, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$481.00Oct 20, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$501.00Oct 20, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$240.50Oct 20, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$240.50Oct 20, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$481.00Oct 20, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$7.50Oct 20, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$250.50Oct 20, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$243.00Oct 20, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$501.00Oct 20, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$240.50Oct 20, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$240.50Oct 20, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$483.00Oct 20, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$250.50Oct 20, 02:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $210.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 02:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".