Second-Hand-Sonar
0x19650a68ae354f7ca87b7094714e6a0bf663e1e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-205.16
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on January 28?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
162 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.73
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
75 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
40 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
25 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1PM ET
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
13 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.10Apr 27, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.03Apr 22, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.00Apr 22, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on April 6?$1.00Apr 6, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 7?$1.00Apr 6, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 1?$1.08Apr 2, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?$1.08Apr 2, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 1?$1.00Apr 1, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 26?$1.00Mar 26, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 25?$1.02Mar 26, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?$3.49Mar 26, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?$1.00Mar 25, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 25?$1.00Mar 25, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 25?$1.00Mar 25, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$0.00Feb 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $2.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 01:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 15:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.