Hopeful-Neologism
0x196746b6244603b0f91fec8736da1e24010d6758
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?
1213 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- BUCCANEERS
Buccaneers vs. Falcons
83 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Alito recuses himself from any Jan 6 case?
50 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 6-7% of the popular vote?$3.00Oct 14, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$2.00Oct 10, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$11.00Oct 9, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$13.00Oct 8, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlito recuses himself from any Jan 6 case?$50.00Oct 5, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Washington DC Presidential Election?$6.00Oct 5, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBuccaneers vs. Falcons$40.00Oct 2, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to between 12 and 23 months prison time?$4.00Oct 1, 11:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $16.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 11:16 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".