Smug-Concrete
0x196989776c3652c6f4981a71949e42f6477914ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$10.32
Total PnL
$-50.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire before August?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$10.32
$3.92
- YES
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US forces in Iran before August?
73 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.70
- NO
Israel strike on Iran on June 22?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
50 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
33 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.70
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
20 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Al Ain beat Manchester City?$0.00Jun 23, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City vs. Al Ain end in a draw?$0.00Jun 23, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$8.70Jun 23, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in June?$3.00Jun 23, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before August? $6.40Jun 23, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor cyberattack on Iran in June?$0.06Jun 23, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ain beat Manchester City?$1.00Jun 23, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City vs. Al Ain end in a draw?$1.00Jun 23, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Iran before August?$8.70Jun 23, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?$10.00Jun 23, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$20.00Jun 23, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on July 1?$1.80Jun 23, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor cyberattack on Iran in June?$1.03Jun 23, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor cyberattack on Iran in June?$0.47Jun 23, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Iran on June 22?$1.00Jun 23, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $4.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 16:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.