Piercing-Hourglass
0x196db38d17a95680af6f626778097b1f0abf9688
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
55
Open notional
$349.19
Total PnL
$8.19
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
77 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$73.21
$4.21
- YES
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$30.22
$0.22
- NO
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
31 shares @ 96.5¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.05
$0.05
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 92.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.38
$1.38
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$16.52
$1.52
- NO
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?
16 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.40
$0.40
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
13 shares @ 81.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.45
$2.45
- YES
Will Robert Charles win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$11.11
$1.11
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
10 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Ben Midgley win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?
11 shares @ 94.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$10.21
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 31?$5.05Jun 1, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$0.05Jun 1, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$4.00Jun 1, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$2.09May 31, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.06May 31, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$1.06May 31, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$4.44May 31, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.05May 31, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.05May 31, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.06May 31, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.08May 31, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.43May 31, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$1.04May 31, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.02May 31, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$1.00May 31, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$1.00May 31, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on June 1?$1.05May 31, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 1?$1.04May 31, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 1?$1.05May 31, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Federico Valverde score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01May 31, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 17:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".