Lost-Good
0x1987adf4c92fa2cffe479686f06d4680fcc81d94
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$76.11
Total PnL
$-175.09
Realised
$4.10
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?
95 shares @ 47.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$65.00
$20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?
58 shares @ 42.8¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$11.10
$-13.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on May 18?
53 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 4?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?
47 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 9?
42 shares @ 35.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 5?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 7?
33 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 8?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 8?
29 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?$46.18Jul 13, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 14?$25.72Jul 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 13?$72.45Jul 13, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 13?$6.03Jul 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 13?$2.70Jul 12, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 13?$7.50Jul 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 13?$5.59Jul 12, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 13?$10.34Jul 12, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 13?$30.54Jul 12, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?$18.92Jul 11, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?$36.18Jul 11, 22:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 11?$5.55Jul 11, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?$1.45Jul 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?$0.03Jul 11, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 11?$0.02Jul 11, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?$2.98Jul 11, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?$3.12Jul 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?$7.22Jul 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 11?$15.42Jul 10, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 11?$15.30Jul 10, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
28/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 22:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.