Flawless-Jellybeans
0x198a0906af1b8f072ebcc7759d2670368bee4353
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
81
Open notional
$0.08
Total PnL
$-187.02
Realised
$1.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
116 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.06
$-2.04
- YES
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
35 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.02
$-1.03
- YES
Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?
520 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
473 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will Dereck Lively lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?
441 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
441 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by March 31?
425 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.63
- NO
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
377 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
352 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- YES
Bill Clinton charged by March 31?
313 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.94
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.82Apr 29, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.81Apr 29, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.93Apr 29, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.86Apr 29, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.96Apr 29, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.84Apr 29, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.86Apr 29, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.86Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$0.56Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.84Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.88Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.84Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.84Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.84Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.87Apr 29, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.86Apr 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.86Apr 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.90Apr 29, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.97Apr 29, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 11:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.