Threadbare-Swivel
0x198c73bad71bce04f5795a354ee7df41fc487328
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
100
Open notional
$37.05
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$-8.78
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3900 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$37.05
$-5.85
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
28000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-110.68
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
23379 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-144.72
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
13781 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-78.90
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
13048 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-72.18
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
5031 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-570.75
- NO
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
3975 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-24.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
1917 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-958.26
- TOP ESPORTS
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
1615 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-581.40
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.90Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$26.00Jun 3, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$72.78Jun 3, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.17Jun 3, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$100.81Jun 3, 04:17 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.46Jun 3, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$929.36Jun 2, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.8KJun 2, 14:35 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.35Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$23.92Jun 1, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$15.60Jun 1, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$15.60Jun 1, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.20Jun 1, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$52.62Jun 1, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$100.00Jun 1, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$26.40Jun 1, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$42.61Jun 1, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.34Jun 1, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3.06Jun 1, 12:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $197.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".