Juvenile-Wasabi
0x198e7791061f8a63e688c0de0108dcec8c98ede0
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.8K
Realised
$-165.33
Win rate
45%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on May 23?
2519 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-32.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 23?
1416 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-149.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on May 25?
1324 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 23?
1256 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-459.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 26?
1240 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 23?
1203 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-118.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 25?
1191 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-46.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 25?
1178 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-229.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?
1177 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-245.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?
1176 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-161.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$2.30Jul 23, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$2.30Jul 23, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 23?$2.06Jul 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?$4.98Jul 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$0.65Jul 20, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$5.10Jul 20, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$0.90Jul 20, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$3.38Jul 20, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 22?$0.78Jul 20, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 19?$0.93Jul 20, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?$60.00Jul 19, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 19?$60.00Jul 19, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 18?$200.00Jul 19, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 18?$117.34Jul 18, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?$19.99Jul 18, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?$6.67Jul 18, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?$0.81Jul 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 19?$17.40Jul 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?$7.99Jul 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 18?$9.05Jul 18, 08:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
45% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.