Critical-Polarisation
0x198fdde17f8fafcc5dbbfcec165aecbc87249227
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-474.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 28 at 5PM ET?
320 shares @ 56.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-179.90
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?
225 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?
209 shares @ 64.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-134.07
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in July?
156 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 28?
92 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-42.69
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $200 and $210 on July 30?
89 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $120K on July 30?
47 shares @ 44.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.90
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on July 28?
28 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-21.42
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 28 at 5PM ET?
17 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-13.43
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 30?
15 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.7 in July?$12.00Aug 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4200 in July?$13.00Aug 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin close above $120K on July 31?$19.16Aug 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $210 in July?$21.00Aug 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3700 on July 28 at 5PM ET?$11.01Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on July 28?$13.00Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3700 on July 28?$20.10Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on July 28?$22.00Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $121K on July 28?$22.00Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on July 28?$28.00Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on July 28?$31.00Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,800 on July 28?$45.00Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on July 28?$45.00Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3800 and $3900 on July 28?$47.00Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $118,000 on July 28?$84.00Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 28 at 5PM ET?$208.50Jul 30, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4500 in July?$5.20Jul 28, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 28 at 5PM ET?$3.16Jul 28, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 28 at 5PM ET?$10.64Jul 28, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 28 at 5PM ET?$4.40Jul 28, 04:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 07:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".