Obvious-Monitor
0x1990c48ad91c87d7a61848f1130e5fd22f83e954
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$232.56
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-6.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
233 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$232.56
$132.56
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
4226 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-978.96
- YES
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2025?
1179 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-17.15
- YES
Adam Schiff charged with treason before July?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Did the FBI destroy Epstein files?
974 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-194.71
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
909 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
836 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?
627 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?
601 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?
567 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill RFK ban pharma ads before May?$0.00May 4, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?$0.00May 4, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?$0.00May 4, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?$0.00May 4, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?$0.00May 4, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$0.00May 4, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWas JFK assassination an inside job?$0.00May 4, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump impose a blanket tariff of 20-30% on the EU by June 30?$378.61May 4, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$878.97Mar 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWas JFK assassination an inside job?$428.97Mar 18, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWas JFK assassination an inside job?$450.00Mar 18, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas JFK assassination an inside job?$2.9KMar 18, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMGold missing from Fort Knox?$0.00Mar 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$2.9KMar 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWas JFK assassination an inside job?$403.70Mar 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$103.70Mar 18, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$300.00Mar 18, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMBruins vs. Senators$0.00Mar 14, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBruins vs. Senators$512.82Mar 13, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $536.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 20:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".