Taut-Beauty
0x19926e41a351fa7124f4448f0dc51a9f8e7cbe7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.92
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
20 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.60
$0.20
- YES
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
20 shares @ 11.6¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.72
$-1.60
- YES
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
20 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.53
$-0.35
- YES
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
20 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.07
$-0.73
- NO
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?
79 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.76
- UNDER
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5
79 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-48.77
- MARIST RED FOXES
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints
75 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-49.77
- UNDER
Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
74 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-49.77
- CAPITALS
Capitals vs. Oilers
73 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-49.78
- YES
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-31?
66 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$6.72Jul 20, 19:42 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.87Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$6.03Jul 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.21Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.38Jun 30, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$1.40May 26, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.58May 26, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.58May 26, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.42May 26, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?$0.05May 26, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.