Charming-Stacking
0x19929193e79a572ee11f4a56a8962c031db9fd4d
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$226.59
Total PnL
$-8.21
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
227 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$226.59
$1.59
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipole by December 15?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
13 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$225.00Jul 24, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$56.82Jul 21, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$78.29Jul 21, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?$108.18Jul 21, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30?$107.50Jun 7, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$75.13May 2, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$72.22May 2, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$144.57May 2, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$144.44Apr 21, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$144.44Apr 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$143.10Apr 21, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$143.10Apr 21, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$140.44Apr 21, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.08Apr 21, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$3.00Apr 21, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$140.52Apr 21, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$139.22Apr 21, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$139.22Apr 21, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$131.43Apr 21, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$131.43Apr 21, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $114.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 13:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.