Suspicious-Rediscovery
0x199a6085c4061e750ae11f41abf6cf829a0d2693
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$114.84
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?
104 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$104.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
11 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.74
$-0.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?
2250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 20?
815 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-215.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
754 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-195.26
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 29?
740 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-195.52
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 12?
738 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-188.12
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?
710 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-12.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28?
710 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-187.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 9?
687 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-175.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,200 July 6-12?$104.01Jul 10, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in June?$104.10Jul 10, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in June?$104.00Jun 30, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.81Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$90.51Jun 30, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$90.42May 31, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$90.43May 31, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$90.35May 30, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on May 28?$10.44May 30, 12:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$79.90May 30, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$79.82May 29, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$10.80May 29, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$90.62May 29, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$90.20May 28, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.80May 28, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$103.85May 28, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$104.03May 28, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on May 27?$104.19May 28, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on May 27?$104.00May 27, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on May 28?$10.42May 27, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $84.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 10:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.