Realistic-Laughter
0x199f4ee2e84980cc00032e406941c8706fd11696
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-253.38
Realised
$-8.05
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 25?
89 shares @ 95.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-85.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
35 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.13
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 8AM ET
30 shares @ 90.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-27.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
30 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-9.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on September 8?
20 shares @ 85.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-17.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
20 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-0.87
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
20 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
16 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-8.76
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 63-64°F on October 30?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on December 17?$1.95Dec 17, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$0.45Dec 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.95Dec 16, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.82Dec 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.88Dec 16, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.41Dec 16, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.49Dec 16, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.41Dec 16, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.89Dec 16, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.89Dec 16, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.62Dec 16, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$9.72Dec 16, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.75Dec 16, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.64Dec 16, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.64Dec 16, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on December 15?$10.00Dec 16, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on December 15?$64.00Dec 16, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$8.81Dec 16, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.61Dec 16, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$4.71Dec 16, 01:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 10:54 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".