Doting-Violin
0x19a3a55e7532a10ccae162bc2f5ce2c681a0ca39
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$3.30
Total PnL
$0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.58Apr 25, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.70Feb 28, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.73Feb 4, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.72Dec 1, 05:12 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.21Nov 26, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.34Nov 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.21Oct 9, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.16Jul 17, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.33Apr 16, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.31Mar 5, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$0.00Jan 14, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?$0.00Jan 14, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$0.00Jan 14, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.13Jan 14, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$0.15Jan 14, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to no prison time?$0.19Jan 14, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.22Jan 14, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.23Jan 14, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.29Jan 14, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.36Jan 14, 00:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $60.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.