Lavish-Monopoly
0x19af1e2d0289cdbd0cbf0922d70d11b2d65edd83
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-13.10
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 26 ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
624 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-62.37
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Submarine" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 28 ET?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 29 ET?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
493 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-130.59
- YES
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times August 29–September 5?
408 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
348 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.48
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
334 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-17.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?$62.37Mar 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$10.46Dec 19, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$10.46Dec 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$9.99Dec 16, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$40.00Dec 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$40.00Dec 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$4.68Dec 12, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$0.00Dec 12, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$20.00Dec 10, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$113.68Dec 9, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$59.00Dec 9, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$30.00Dec 7, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$10.00Dec 6, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$2.71Dec 6, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$0.18Dec 6, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?$1.00Dec 6, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?$2.23Oct 19, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?$2.23Oct 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?$2.71Oct 5, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$0.58Oct 5, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 13:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".