Sophisticated-Cub
0x19b8cc37015448971fa325b3a37ff554e919a005
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-266.44
Realised
$-17.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
4037 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-114.83
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
2502 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-57.77
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1075 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?
255 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during the May meeting?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$18.00Jul 30, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?$5.00Jul 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$80.00Jul 29, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$15.84Jul 2, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$14.89Jul 2, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$4.00Jun 21, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$15.00Jun 16, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$5.00Jun 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$5.00Jun 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$10.00Jun 16, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$40.00Jun 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?$4.00May 7, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during the May meeting?$3.00May 7, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$6.80May 7, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$1.00May 6, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$50.00May 6, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$11.00May 6, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$5.00May 4, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$5.98May 2, 22:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $15.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".