Trim-Premium
0x19bad91f067ab4b332e37310e651471a85bb131d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$55.13
Total PnL
$-122.86
Realised
$-0.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$12.02
$2.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
23 shares @ 43.3¢·now 51.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.80
$1.80
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.59
$-1.41
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.90
$-2.10
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$3.75
$2.75
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.53
$-7.47
- YES
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.31
$-3.69
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Palermo (Doubles): Boehner/Hodzic vs Tikhonova/Zidansek AND Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B AND Bloomfield Hills: J.J. Wolf vs Coleman Wong AND Palermo: Dalila Spiteri vs Lucia Bronzetti AND LoL: Blue Otter vs Cupid Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage AND Winnipeg (Doubles): Broady/Myneni vs Fancutt/Rai AND Winnipeg: Johannus Monday vs Yuta Shimizu AND Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier AND Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha AND Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.59Jul 23, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$1.53Jul 23, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Dota 2: Level UP vs Team AION (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B AND Bloomfield Hills: J.J. Wolf vs Coleman Wong AND Palermo: Dalila Spiteri vs Lucia Bronzetti AND Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier AND Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$5.70Jul 23, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians$5.20Jul 23, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$20.00Jul 23, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLPalermo: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Alice Rame AND Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage AND Estoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi AND Zug: Norbert Gombos vs Dominic Stephan Stricker AND San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves AND Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B$30.61Jul 23, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYPalermo: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Alice Rame AND Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage AND Estoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi AND Zug: Norbert Gombos vs Dominic Stephan Stricker AND San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves AND Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group B$16.99Jul 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$10.23Jul 23, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$25.64Jul 23, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBloomfield Hills (Doubles): Bertola/Echargui vs Maginley/Poling AND New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers$9.99Jul 22, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$11.61Jul 22, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox AND Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees$14.99Jul 22, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$14.71Jul 21, 21:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$5.00Jul 20, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$10.22Jul 20, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.93Jul 19, 22:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.